화학공학소재연구정보센터
Journal of Loss Prevention in The Process Industries, Vol.24, No.3, 259-265, 2011
Development of algorithms for predicting ignition probabilities and explosion frequencies
A project was performed for the Explosion Research Cooperative to develop algorithms for predicting the frequencies of explosions based on a variety of design, operating and environmental conditions. Algorithms were developed for estimating unit-based explosion frequencies, such as those reported in API Recommended Practice 752, but in more detail and covering a much broader range of chemical process types. The project also developed methods for predicting scenario-based explosion frequencies, using frequencies of initiating events and conditional probabilities of immediate ignition and delayed ignition resulting in explosion. The algorithms were based on a combination of published data and expert opinion. (C) 2011 M. Moosemiller. Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.