Computers & Chemical Engineering, Vol.84, 599-610, 2016
Optimal scenario reduction framework based on distance of uncertainty distribution and output performance: II. Sequential reduction
In this paper, a novel sequential scenario reduction framework for general optimization problem is proposed. The proposed method extends the previous work (Li and Floudas, 2014) and aims to tackle optimization problems with a large number of uncertain parameters and a huge number of scenarios generated from the factorial combination. The proposed method first ranks the uncertain parameters based on their effects on the optimal objective using global sensitivity analysis. Then, the parameters are sequentially considered in generating uncertainty scenarios. This method can essentially reduce the computational efforts needed for evaluating the objective values of all scenarios, which is often impractical for a huge number of scenarios. Criteria for quantifying the quality of scenario reduction are also proposed based on robust optimization and scenario optimization. Case studies are presented to illustrate the sequential scenario reduction framework and the results verify the efficiency of the proposed approach. (C) 2015 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
Keywords:Optimal scenario reduction;Sequential framework;Uncertainty;Mixed integer linear optimization