Renewable Energy, Vol.101, 894-899, 2017
SEM-REV energy site extreme wave prediction
Accurate estimation of extreme wave conditions is critical for offshore renewable energy activities and applications. Wave power is the transport of energy by wind waves, and the capture of that energy to do useful work. Wave energy converter (WEC) devices are designed to sustain the wave-induced loads that they experience during both operational and survival sea states. The extreme values of these forces are often a key cost driver for WEC designs. These extreme loads often occur during severe storms; therefore careful examination of harsh wave conditions during the device design process is needed. Consequently the development of a specific extreme condition modeling method is essential. This paper presents a novel method for estimating extreme wave statistics, based on the hourly measured wave height maxima at the location of interest. Wave measurements, analyzed in this paper, were collected at SEM-REV offshore sea station located near the coast of France, during years 2001-2010. Note that applied statistical methodology is general and can be well applied to a measured WEC response, and its technology risk assessment. Accurate estimation of extreme wave conditions is critical for offshore renewable energy activities and applications. SEM-REV is known French wave energy test site. The method, referred to as ACER method, is presented in brief detail. ACER method provides an accurate extreme value prediction, utilizing available data efficiently. In this study the estimated return level values, obtained by ACER method, are compared to the corresponding return level values obtained by Gumbel method. Based on the overall performance of the proposed method, it is concluded that the ACER method can provide a robust and accurate prediction of extreme wave height at a given location. (C) 2016 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
Keywords:Wave height statistics;Probability;SEM-REV;Extreme value statistics;Gumbel distribution;Wave energy