IEEE Transactions on Automatic Control, Vol.62, No.2, 853-862, 2017
Fast Filtering in Switching Approximations of Nonlinear Markov Systems With Applications to Stochastic Volatility
We consider the problem of optimal statistical filtering in general nonlinear non-Gaussian Markov dynamic systems. The novelty of the proposed approach consists in approximating the nonlinear system by a recent Markov switching process, in which one can perform exact and optimal filtering with a linear time complexity. All we need to assume is that the system is stationary (or asymptotically stationary), and that one can sample its realizations. We evaluate our method using two stochastic volatility models and results show its efficiency.
Keywords:Conditionally Gaussian linear state-space model;filtering in switching systems;Kalman filter;nonlinear systems;optimal statistical filter;stochastic volatility model