Science, Vol.275, No.5306, 1618-1621, 1997
Borehole Temperatures and a Base-Line for 20th-Century Global Warming Estimates
Lack of a 19th-century baseline temperature against which 20th-century warming can be referenced constitutes a deficiency in understanding recent climate change. Combination of borehole temperature profiles, which contain a memory of surface temperature changes in previous centuries, with the meteorological archive of surface air temperatures can provide a 19th-century baseline temperature tied to the current observational record. A test case in Utah, where boreholes are interspersed with meteorological stations belonging to the Historical Climatological Network, yields a noise reduction in estimates of 20th-century warming and a baseline temperature that is 0.6 degrees +/- 0.1 degrees C below the 1951 to 1970 mean temperature for the region.
Keywords:CHANGING CLIMATE;TRENDS