Science, Vol.281, No.5381, 1327-1332, 1998
Ocean climate change : Comparison of acoustic tomography, satellite altimetry, and modeling
Comparisons of gyre-scale acoustic and direct thermal measurements of heat content in the Pacific Ocean, satellite altimeter measurements of sea surface height, and results from a general circulation model show that only about half of the seasonal and year-to-year changes in sea level are attributable to thermal expansion. Interpreting climate change signals from fluctuations in sea Level is therefore complicated. The annual cycle of heat flux is 150 +/- 25 watts per square meter (peak-to-peak, corresponding to a 0.2 degrees C vertically averaged temperature cycle); an interannual-change of similar magnitude is also detected. Meteorological estimates of surface heat flux, if accurate, require a Large seasonal cycle in the advective heat flux.