Automatica, Vol.37, No.11, 1703-1716, 2001
Filtering, predictive, and smoothing Cramer-Rao bounds for discrete-time nonlinear dynamic systems
Cramer-Rao lower bounds for the discrete-time nonlinear state estimation problem are treated. The Cramer-Rao bound for the mean-square error matrix of a state estimate is particularly important for quality evaluation of nonlinear state estimators as it represents a limit of cognizability of the state. Recursive relations for filtering, predictive, and smoothing Cramer-Rao bounds are derived to establish a unifying framework for several previously published derivation procedures and results. Lower bounds for systems with unknown parameters are newly provided. Computation of filtering, predictive, and smoothing Cramer-Rao bounds, their mutual comparison and utilization for quality evaluation of some nonlinear filters are shown in numerical examples.
Keywords:nonlinear systems;stochastic systems;nonlinear state estimation;Cramer-Rao bound;mean-square error;filtering;prediction;smoothing