A Monte Carlo method for grand canonical and grand isoshear ensemble simulations has been used to characterize the free energy, energy, and entropy of clay mineral swelling. The Monte Carlo approach was found to be more efficient at simulating water content fluctuations in the highly constrained clay environment than a previously developed molecular dynamics method. Swelling thermodynamics calculated for Cs-, Na-, and Sr-montmorillonite clays indicate a strong dependence of swelling on the interlayer ion identity, in agreement with various experimental measurements. The Sir clay swells most readily, and both the Na-, and Sr clays prefer expanded states (two-layer hydrate or greater) when in contact with bulk water. In contrast, swelling is inhibited in the Cs clay. Differences in swelling behavior are traced directly to the tendency of the different ions to hydrate. The swelling free energies are decomposed into their energetic and entropic components, revealing an overall energetic driving force for the swelling phenomena. Entropic effects provide a smaller, mediating role in the swelling processes. The results provide a unique molecular perspective on experimentally well-characterized swelling phenomena. (C) 2004 American Institute of Physics.