| 학회 | 한국화학공학회 |
| 학술대회 | 2017년 봄 (04/26 ~ 04/28, ICC 제주) |
| 권호 | 23권 1호, p.216 |
| 발표분야 | 공정시스템 |
| 제목 | Aedes aegypti 생태모델: 기후변화에 의한 열대모기 현재 및 미래 서식환경 연구 |
| 초록 | In Ecuador, dengue represents a growing public health problem in the context of vector-borne diseases. Previous studies indicate that climate change can influence Aedes aegypti biology causing impact in the future epidemiological panorama. In this study, an ecological model is performed using species distribution to understand mosquito spatial patterns and identify the probability of suitability in the endemic regions of dengue in Ecuador. Maximum entropy algorithm was applied to determine Aedes aegypti distribution and delineate its current and future suitable habitat using dengue cases records, a set of climate variables and potential environmental factors including the predicted. The ecological dependency of species on each environmental variable was evaluated using response curves and the statistical performance of the models was quantified based on accuracy assessment and spatial predictions. Results displays dengue vulnerability maps to help with disease prevention and emerging epidemics of chikungunya and zika. This work was supported by the National Research Foundation of Korea (NRF) grant funded by the Korea government (MSIP) (No.2015R1A2A2A11001120). |
| 저자 | Gabriel Jacome, 유창규 |
| 소속 | 경희대 |
| 키워드 | 공정모델링; 공정모사; 이상진단 |
| 원문파일 | 초록 보기 |
