화학공학소재연구정보센터
Science, Vol.330, No.6006, 982-985, 2010
Contact Network Structure Explains the Changing Epidemiology of Pertussis
The epidemiology of whooping cough (pertussis) remains enigmatic. A leading cause of infant mortality globally, its resurgence in several developed nations-despite the availability and use of vaccines for many decades-has caused alarm. We combined data from a singular natural experiment and a detailed contact network study to show that age-specific contact patterns alone can explain shifts in prevalence and age-stratified incidence in the vaccine era. The practical implications of our results are notable: Ignoring age-structured contacts is likely to result in misinterpretation of epidemiological data and potentially costly policy missteps.